RMME/STAT Joint Colloquium:

Partially Ordered Responses and Applications

Edward Ip
Wake Forest University

Friday, February 26^th, at 12:00PM EST

https://uconn-cmr.webex.com/uconn-cmr/j.php?MTID=mc1ed9d99b7e6b63ab2796d729867e365

Partially ordered set (poset) responses are prevalent in fields such as psychology, education, and health. For example, the psychopathologic classification of no anxiety (NA), mild anxiety (MA), anxiety with depression (AwD), and severe anxiety (SA) form a poset. Due in part to the lack of analytic tools, poset responses are often collapsed into other data forms such as ordinal data. During such a process, subtle information within a poset is inevitably lost. In this presentation, a longitudinal latent-variable model for poset responses and its application to health data will be described. It is argued that latent variable modeling enables the integration of information from both ordinal and nominal components in a poset. Using the abovementioned example, NA>{MA,AwD}>SA form the ordinal component, and MA and AwD form the nominal component. Specifically, it will be demonstrated that the latent variable model “discovers” implicit ordering within the nominal categories. This is possible because both intra-person and inter-person information are borrowed to reinforce inference. Some potential applications of the poset model will also be highlighted.

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RMME/STAT Joint Colloquium:

The Bayesian Causal Forest Model: Regularization, Confounding, and Heterogeneous Effects

Richard Hahn
Arizona State University

January 29, 2021, at 12:00 EST

https://uconn-cmr.webex.com/uconn-cmr/j.php?MTID=mc19e545b14cc3a980ffc36760a5ce5f4

This talk will describe recent work on Bayesian supervised learning for conditional average treatment effects. Dr. Hahn will motivate the proposed Bayesian causal forest model in terms of fixing two specific flaws with previous approaches. One, our model allows for direct regularization of the treatment effect function, providing lower variance estimates of heterogeneous treatment effects. Two, by including an estimate of the propensity score as a control variable in our model we mitigate a phenomenon called “regularization induced confounding” that leads to substantial bias in previous approaches. Dr. Hahn will conclude with a detailed discussion of designing simulation studies to systematically investigate and validate machine learning models for causal inference.

Note: Dr. Hahn may also talk about this tutorial: https://math.la.asu.edu/~prhahn/xbcf_demo.html

As a continuation of the presentation series this fall, the University of Connecticut’s Research Methods, Measurement, & Evaluation (RMME) program and Statistics department will jointly sponsor several additional RMME/STAT colloquia, starting in January of 2021. So, mark your calendar now! And as always, be sure to check the RMME website for more information as these talks approach!